Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 9.420219 10.915217 12.519284 14.362487 16.415872 18.627026 21.181888
2025-04-06 7.659205 9.629914 11.878124 14.612410 17.826630 21.463449 25.866838
2025-04-13 6.437840 8.679691 11.372662 14.803786 19.013957 23.965164 30.177969
2025-04-20 5.647817 8.094343 11.167001 15.238546 20.414804 26.695667 34.804589
2025-04-27 4.978499 7.549691 10.912879 15.528660 21.582512 29.129844 39.113486
2025-05-04 4.333546 6.941823 10.489067 15.521037 22.313910 30.994508 42.731635
2025-05-11 3.594265 6.101876 9.654192 14.867510 22.113654 31.604784 44.718334
2025-05-18 3.106178 5.562961 9.174818 14.638961 22.431446 32.859429 47.537802
2025-05-25 2.666687 5.040321 8.661275 14.304591 22.554883 33.823886 49.967419
2025-06-01 2.330315 4.638049 8.283859 14.125720 22.863591 35.023033 52.720591
2025-06-08 2.002575 4.206829 7.817322 13.768092 22.875305 35.785493 54.871545
2025-06-15 1.811613 3.988213 7.665707 13.873218 23.557155 37.496857 58.371040
2025-06-22 1.610005 3.727166 7.423953 13.821848 24.002843 38.890386 61.477436
2025-06-29 1.468404 3.560303 7.324046 13.985539 24.774530 40.771254 65.320502
2025-07-06 1.340274 3.402589 7.224068 14.136734 25.524019 42.632641 69.174941
2025-07-13 1.261650 3.334983 7.276573 14.541279 26.682615 45.129385 74.010338
2025-07-20 1.172291 3.232846 7.255791 14.814512 27.634579 47.334480 78.462576
2025-07-27 1.056410 3.056764 7.080682 14.804515 28.118584 48.832492 81.892022
2025-08-03 0.883991 2.725344 6.576441 14.174173 27.543241 48.669840 82.813326
2025-08-10 0.775397 2.525898 6.311078 13.953721 27.634898 49.535869 85.297770
2025-08-17 0.670141 2.316207 6.003692 13.631729 27.532011 50.081284 87.292012
2025-08-24 0.589987 2.156855 5.784879 13.459528 27.673896 51.011967 89.892037
2025-08-31 0.505964 1.970524 5.488614 13.115415 27.492721 51.406737 91.654312